Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year
Reduces both margin and volume outlook
Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel rates
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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto
HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the 3rd time this year due to falling rates and likewise decreased its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share price down 10%.
Neste stated a drop in the cost of regular diesel had impacted what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and stayed high.
A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to impede the nascent market.
Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated average comparable sales margin of its renewables unit to in between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.
The company now likewise anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had predicted given that the start of the year, it added.
A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste said.
"Renewable products' list prices have actually been negatively impacted by a substantial decrease in (the) diesel cost throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.
"At the very same time, waste and residue feedstock prices have actually not decreased and sustainable item market value premiums have remained weak," the business added.
Industry executives and experts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are pausing growth plans in Europe.
While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the unfavorable effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel rate was to be expected, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski stated.
Neste's share cost had actually reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)